Free tool
Risk / reward calculator with break-even win rate
Enter entry, stop and target. You get the risk-to-reward ratio and the win rate you need just to break even at that ratio.
How to use it
- Enter your entry, stop and target prices.
- Read the risk-to-reward ratio (1 : R).
- Read the break-even win rate for that ratio.
Example. Entry 5,500, stop 5,490, target 5,530: risk 10, reward 30 → 1 : 3.00; break-even win rate 25%.
About this calculator
A higher reward-to-risk ratio lowers the win rate needed to break even, and the reverse. A 1:1 trade needs a 50% win rate before costs; a 1:3 trade needs 25%. Fees, slippage and a realistic estimate of how often a setup works all matter. This tool is arithmetic, not a judgment about any trade.
Frequently asked questions
What is a good risk reward ratio?
There is no universal answer; it depends on how often your setup wins. The break-even win rate shows the minimum you would need at a given ratio.
How is break-even win rate calculated?
1 divided by (1 plus the reward-to-risk ratio). At 1:2 that is 33.3%, at 1:3 it is 25%.
Does this include fees?
No. Commissions and slippage raise the real break-even win rate.
Planning a trade with defined risk?
See ES overnight levels: structure, key levels and catalysts in futures and SPY/QQQ terms, before the 9:30 ET open.
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Informational calculator for reference only. Outputs are arithmetic, not quotes, recommendations or trade signals. LiquidityLevels provides educational market commentary, not financial advice.